Medical

A healthy roster is not a medical lead who keeps players healthy.

Availability reported apart from the KR, and the lead graded as a portable actor.

Case 01 · availability is not in the KR

Same rating. Not the same amount of player.

A durable player and a fragile player with identical traits have the identical KR, because the KR is what he is when he plays. What differs is how much of it you get, reported separately. Two composite wings.

Player A
durable
86
KR86
Expected availability92%
Realized value: nearly the full 86
Player B
fragile history
86
KR86
Expected availability61%
Realized value: a fraction of the 86

Both are 86s, with no quiet dock to the fragile player's rating. The KR and the availability sit side by side, so you decide how to weigh a great player you get sixty percent of the time. The rating tells you how good he is. The medical read tells you how often you have him.

Illustrative engine read on the real KR-plus-availability structure (availability reported separately, never baked into the KR). Composite players, demonstration figures.

Case 02 · grade the trainer, not the roster

Raw injury counts blame the wrong person.

A medical lead's raw availability is dominated by two things that are not him: which players he was handed, and how hard the coach worked them. Strip both, and only what survives is his fingerprint. Composite medical lead.

Raw availabilitythe number on the surfacelooks poor
Remove the roster he was handeda high-fragility roster, up to a 5x risk effect, not his faultadjust up
Remove the load the coach choseacute-to-chronic workload is a coaching and scheduling calladjust up
The availability residualwhat survives both adjustments, this is his78

On paper this lead looked below average, because he was handed brittle players and a coach who ran them hard. Strip what he did not choose, and the survivor is strong. The residual is the only honest measure, and it usually disagrees with the raw count.

Illustrative engine read on the real roster-risk-adjusted and load-adjusted residual structure. Composite lead, demonstration figures.

Case 03 · it travels, and it raises the bet

The fingerprint moves with him, and changes a player's worth.

The medical lead is the sibling of the performance lead: one builds the body, the other keeps it on the floor. The same portability test runs, then the surviving availability feeds the realized value of every bet.

Stop 1 · mid-major
Program A
Avail residual+7.2
Re-injury ratelow
Stop 2 · high-major
Program B
Avail residual+6.8
Re-injury ratelow
The availability held. New roster, new schedule, and the residual stayed strong across the move. That is a trainer who keeps players on the floor, not an easy calendar he inherited.
Realized value of a bet. A strong medical lead raises a player's expected availability, which raises the realized value of a development or roster bet, at appropriate confidence. The fragile player is worth more under him than under a weak staff.
Program's Developmental Value. His availability fingerprint is the durability contribution inside a program's development read, alongside the coach and the performance lead.

A better medical lead does not inflate a rating, he raises how much of it you can bank on. The same fragile 86 is a safer bet under a strong staff, and that difference is priced instead of hidden. He does not change the player. He changes how much of the player you get.

Illustrative engine read on the real portability and realized-value feed structure. Composite lead and programs, demonstration figures.

The law underneath
A healthy roster is not a medical lead who keeps players healthy.

Availability is not talent, it is how much of the talent you get, and who keeps it on the floor is worth grading.